Putin avoiding facts amid ‘growing criticism’, military failures: ISW | Jobs Reply

Vladimir Putin public events to prevent war ISW
Russian President Vladimir Putin is pictured at a summit in Bishkek, Kyrgyzstan on November 9, 2022. The Institute for the Study of War said on Wednesday that Putin was avoiding public events in Russia because he was “unsure of his ability to shape them”. Russian Information Space” as criticism of the war in Ukraine mounts.
Contributor/Getty Images

Russian President Vladimir Putin avoids public events out of concern that he cannot effectively sell his narrative on the war in Ukraine, according to the Institute for the Study of War (ISW).

An ISW ​​report published on Wednesday indicates that Putin may not deliver a major address to the Russian State Duma, unlike the US State of the Union address, until next year amid growing criticism of the war. The Russian president last gave an address in April 2021. ISW said Putin is “uncertain about his ability to shape Russia’s information space” but can still “hope to give a big victory speech in 2023.”

“Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov indicated that Putin may deliver his address to the Federation Assembly in 2023 and called on Russians to stop ‘guessing with coffee grounds’ about the timing of the next address,” ISW reports. “The withdrawal from Russia’s Kiev Oblast and northern Ukraine in April 2022 likely thwarted Putin’s plans to declare victory in his speech to the Federation Assembly.”

ISW said the speech was likely delayed due to “military failures”, which could be responsible for Putin’s partial troop mobilization, annexation of regions of Ukraine not controlled by Russia and the continued delay of other actions during the war. The report says Putin is avoiding the speech “because it would force him to admit that Russia cannot achieve its oft-repeated maximalist goals in Ukraine.”

Peskov announced this week that Putin had canceled his annual year-end press conference. No reason was given for the cancellation, although the spokesman said “the president will still find an opportunity” to speak to reporters.

ISW suggested on Wednesday that the press conference decision was likely “an attempt to avoid answering questions about Russia’s military failures without resorting to obvious over-manipulation of questioners and questions.”

“Putin seems to be turning more and more to scripted and pre-recorded speeches,” ISW said. “Cancelling the press conference, however, could undermine Putin’s populist appeal as a ruler in touch with his people.”

Putin’s decision to cancel his press conference and postpone his State Duma speech comes amid a spate of high Russian casualties and low military morale in Ukraine.

The General Staff of Ukraine’s Armed Forces shared a video on Facebook on Wednesday of allegedly “terrified” Russian soldiers fleeing from the Ukrainian army before explosions erupted in a wooded area. Ukraine said 740 Russian soldiers were killed on Wednesday alone.

Earlier this week, a captured Russian soldier said he witnessed the execution of fellow troops who showed fear on the battlefield, and the commander of a depleted Russian regiment in Ukraine made a video appeal to “freeze” and “bare” supplies to help. “soldiers

Newsweek He has reached out to the Russian government for comment.

Source link